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Thursday, December 20, 2007

Problem Identification : Methods


Problem Identification : Methods

1) Deviation from Past Performance
I took to the past for symptoms of problems in the present.
Employee turnover increases
Sales Decline
Sales expenses increase
More defective units are produced
MB 014 – History of Management, Case Study
2) Deviation from the Plan
 New products fails to meet its market share objective
 Profit levels are lower than planned
 Construction of a new plant is far off schedule
3) Criticism
 Customer dissatisfaction with new product / with their delivery
schedule
 Union presents grievances
 Investment firms may not recommend the organization as a
good investment opportunity
4) Competition
 Organization’s competitors for resources & clients
 A competitor introduces a superior new product
 Problem Identification : Evaluating Alternatives
1) Conditions of Risk
50 % chance of capturing the youth market with new product
Actuarial tables used by insurance companies


Probabilities will be reasonalble accurate for a great number of cases over the long run

2) Conditions of uncertainty
Decision maker – no idea of the probabilities associated with the
various alternatives
Institution, Judgment & personality of the decision maker play an
important role
3) Multiple & Conflicting objectives
Competitiveness objective of a high quality product & an
efficiency objective of low maintenance costs
Profitability objective v/s Social responsibility
4) Optimal solutions are often impossible
Managers can in no way be aware of every possible alternative
Most managers are therefore not "Optimizers" but "Satisfiers".

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